Three weeks ago, we broke down the relegation battle and predicted who had the best chance to survive. Since then, the fight to stay alive at the bottom of the promedios table has only intensified more. Tigre has somehow put themselves in a position to possibly pull off the impossible, and Argentinos and Gimnasia have all but saved themselves, at least for this season.

After San Martín de San Juan failed to close out a road victory over Lanús and Belgrano defeated Patronato in Alberdi, we have a three-way tie for survival. Tigre is just three points back and San Martín de Tucumán also pulled off an improbable road win and could still scratch their way to survival.

With three matches remaining, here is where we currently stand:

Of the five teams, each could still survive, but four will go down. Let’s take one additional look at their remaining schedules and try our best to figure out who will stay and who will go… to the B Nacional.

San Martín (SJ): 87 points / 79 matches / 1.101

Remaining matches:

Argentinos Juniors – Draw

at Colón – Draw

Talleres – Defeat

Final Point Total: 89 points / 82 matches / 1.085

Patronato: 87 points / 79 matches / 1.101

Remaining Matches:

Defensa y Justicia – Defeat

at Godoy Cruz – Defeat

Argentinos Juniors – Draw

Final Point Total: 88 points / 82 matches / 1.073

Belgrano: 87 points / 79 matches / 1.101

Remaining matches:

at Racing – Defeat

at Lanus – Draw

Godoy Cruz – Victory

Final Point Total: 91 points / 82 matches / 1.109

Tigre: 84 points / 79 matches / 1.063

Remaining matches:

at Talleres – Draw

Racing – Defeat

at River Plate – Defeat

Final Point Total: 85 points / 82 matches / 1.037

San Martin (T): 21 points / 22 matches / 0.954

Remaining Matches:

Boca Juniors – Defeat

at Estudiantes – Draw

San Lorenzo – Draw

Final Point Total: 23 points / 25 matches / 0.920

Final Promedios Standings

Belgrano – 1.109

———–

San Martin (SJ) – 1.085

Patronato – 1.073

Tigre – 1.037

San Martin (T) – 0.920

Jimmy lived in Córdoba, Argentina as a teenager and is still an active Socio for his beloved club, Belgrano. He currently lives in Seattle, WA and runs the Belgrano – English twitter account. Check out his weekly videos produced by Fanatiz about Belgrano and their relegation battle.